Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
