Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
