Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.
