Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Moreirense |
44.7% | 27.44% | 27.85% |
Both teams to score 46.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.85% | 58.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.19% | 78.8% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% | 25.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.11% | 60.89% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.37% | 36.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.58% | 73.41% |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 12.81% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.7% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.85% Total : 27.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
3 | Porto | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
4 | BoavistaBoavista | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
5 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
8 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 6 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 6 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
15 | Vizela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 4 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
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