Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | SC Farense |
44.95% | 27.09% | 27.95% |
Both teams to score 48.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.18% | 56.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.24% | 77.75% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.82% | 25.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.09% | 59.9% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.17% | 35.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.4% | 72.6% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.95% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 40 |
2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
8 | Casa Pia | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 19 |
10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 17 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
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