Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Belenenses |
43.54% | 28.51% | 27.95% |
Both teams to score 44.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.26% | 61.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.46% | 81.54% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% | 28.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% | 63.88% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.47% | 38.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.73% | 75.27% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Belenenses |
1-0 @ 13.75% 2-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 8.3% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.65% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.51% | 0-1 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
2 | Porto | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 34 | 45 |
3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 38 |
5 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 27 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 25 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Vizela | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 24 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 23 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 21 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 19 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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