Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 8.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 3-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.
