Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
