Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Liverpool |
17.49% | 20.46% | 62.06% |
Both teams to score 55.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.65% | 40.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.27% | 62.73% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.51% | 36.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.73% | 73.27% |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.52% | 12.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.54% | 38.46% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Liverpool |
2-1 @ 4.82% 1-0 @ 4.59% 2-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.68% 3-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.49% | 1-1 @ 9.56% 2-2 @ 5.01% 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.86% 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-3 @ 6.9% 0-3 @ 6.84% 1-4 @ 3.59% 0-4 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 3.48% 2-4 @ 1.81% 1-5 @ 1.49% 0-5 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.64% Total : 62.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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