Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
17.58% | 21.45% | 60.98% |
Both teams to score 52.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.33% | 44.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.97% | 67.03% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.04% | 38.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.32% | 75.68% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.83% | 14.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.15% | 41.85% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 5.2% 2-1 @ 4.79% 2-0 @ 2.45% 3-1 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.58% | 1-1 @ 10.16% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 10.78% 0-2 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 6.47% 0-4 @ 3.36% 1-4 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 3.05% 2-4 @ 1.49% 0-5 @ 1.31% 1-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.77% Total : 60.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 89 | 31 | 58 | 82 |
2 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 83 | 39 | 44 | 81 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 66 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
5 | Liverpool | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 62 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
7 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 55 |
9 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
10 | Brentford | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 50 |
11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
17 | Everton | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 32 |
18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 49 | 64 | -15 | 30 |
R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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