Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.