Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Newcastle United |
52.49% | 23.76% | 23.75% |
Both teams to score 54.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.36% | 46.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.09% | 68.91% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.26% | 17.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.58% | 48.42% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.16% | 33.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.49% | 70.51% |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.61% Total : 52.49% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 89 | 31 | 58 | 82 |
2 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 83 | 39 | 44 | 81 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 66 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
5 | Liverpool | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 62 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
7 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 55 |
9 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
10 | Brentford | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 50 |
11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
17 | Everton | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 32 |
18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 49 | 64 | -15 | 30 |
R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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