Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.