Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
23.46% | 23.74% | 52.79% |
Both teams to score 54.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.14% | 46.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% | 69.11% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% | 34.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% | 70.91% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% | 17.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.63% | 48.36% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 6.5% 2-1 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.18% Total : 23.46% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-2 @ 9.08% 1-3 @ 5.62% 0-3 @ 5.24% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.61% Total : 52.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 29 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 72 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 64 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 50 |
4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 46 |
7 | Aston Villa | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 44 |
8 | Liverpool | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 43 |
9 | Brentford | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 43 |
10 | Fulham | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 39 |
11 | Chelsea | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 39 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 30 |
13 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 29 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 28 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
16 | Everton | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 27 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 52 | -28 | 27 |
18 | Bournemouth | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 27 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 25 |
20 | Southampton | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 23 |
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