Reaction
Dean Smith furious after Villa denied late penalty in Brighton loss
The Villa boss says: "I don't know what a penalty is now."
Nov 21, 18:55
Graham Potter lavishes praise on Danny Welbeck after first goal
The former England international joined Albion on a free transfer last month.
Nov 22, 12:09
The Match
Match Report
The former Manchester United and Arsenal striker scored his first goal for the Seagulls.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and form guide.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 35.94% | 26.72% | 37.33% |
| Both teams to score 51.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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