Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.