Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Switzerland win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.