The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash between Germany and Spain, including team news and predicted lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Ahead of Spain's UEFA Nations League clash with Germany in Stuttgart, Sports Mole looks at how La Roja could line up.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Germany had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Germany win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Germany | Draw | Spain |
36.66% | 24.06% | 39.28% |
Both teams to score 61.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.77% | 41.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.38% | 63.62% |
Germany Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.57% | 22.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.04% | 55.97% |
Spain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.87% | 21.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.03% | 53.98% |
Score Analysis |
Germany 36.66%
Spain 39.28%
Draw 24.06%
Germany | Draw | Spain |
2-1 @ 8.23% 1-0 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.66% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-1 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.74% Total : 39.28% |
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 23, 2018 7.45pm
Nov 18, 2014 7.45pm
Jun 9, 2013 7.30pm
Form Guide
Build-up
How Spain could line up against Germany
Ahead of Spain's UEFA Nations League clash with Germany in Stuttgart, Sports Mole looks at how La Roja could line up.
Sep 1, 13:04
How Germany could line up against Spain
Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash against Spain.
Sep 1, 12:49
Content continues below the video
rhs 2.0
LT: 2022-11-28 03:17:39
Monday, November 28
10am
Group G
Cameroon
vs.
Serbia
1pm
Group H
South Korea
vs.
Ghana
4pm
Group G
Brazil
vs.
Switzerland
7pm
Group H
Portugal
vs.
Uruguay
Tuesday, November 29
3pm
Group A
Ecuador
vs.
Senegal
3pm
Group A
Netherlands
vs.
Qatar
7pm
Group B
Iran
vs.
USA
7pm
Group B
Wales
vs.
England
Wednesday, November 30
3pm
Group D
Australia
vs.
Denmark
3pm
Group D
Tunisia
vs.
France
7pm
Group C
Poland
vs.
Argentina
7pm
Group C
Saudi Arabia
vs.
Mexico
Thursday, December 1
3pm
Group F
Canada
vs.
Morocco
3pm
Group F
Croatia
vs.
Belgium
7pm
Group E
Costa Rica
vs.
Germany
7pm
Group E
Japan
vs.
Spain
Friday, December 2
3pm
Group H
Ghana
vs.
Uruguay
3pm
Group H
South Korea
vs.
Portugal
7pm
Group G
Cameroon
vs.
Brazil
7pm
Group G
Serbia
vs.
Switzerland
Saturday, December 3
3pm
7pm
Sunday, December 4
3pm
7pm
Monday, December 5
3pm
7pm
Tuesday, December 6
3pm
7pm
Friday, December 9
3pm
7pm
Saturday, December 10
3pm
7pm
Tuesday, December 13
7pm
Wednesday, December 14
7pm
Saturday, December 17
3pm
Sunday, December 18
LT: 2022-11-28 03:17:39
World Cup
Club Friendlies 1
Ukrainian Premier League
Segunda Division
NFL
1.20am
Packers
@
Eagles
Tables
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 11 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 32 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 30 |
4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 |
5 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 26 |
6 | Liverpool | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 22 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Chelsea | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Fulham | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 19 |
10 | Brentford | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Aston Villa | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 18 |
13 | Leicester CityLeicester | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 17 |
14 | Bournemouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 16 |
15 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 15 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 14 |
17 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 13 |
19 | Southampton | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 12 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
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