Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.