Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
