Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Stockport County |
34.33% | 25.8% | 39.87% |
Both teams to score 54.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.49% | 49.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.45% | 71.54% |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% | 27.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.85% | 63.15% |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.51% | 24.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.06% | 58.94% |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.33% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 4.04% 0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
2 | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 56 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 53 |
19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
R | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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