Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.