Leamington FC 4-3 Alfreton Town - National League North - November 17, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Nov 17, 2020 at 7.45pm UK at New Windmill Ground

Osborne (53', 68'), Smith (87'), Edwards (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Day (1', 6' pen.), Reeves (21')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Leamington FC and Alfreton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leamington FC would win this match.

Result
Leamington FC	Draw	Alfreton Town
37.29%	26.8%	35.92%

Both teams to score 51.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.45%

53.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94%

75.06%

Leamington FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.22%

27.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.63%

63.37%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4%

28.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6%

64.4%

Score Analysis

Leamington FC 37.28%

Alfreton Town 35.92%

Draw 26.79%

Leamington FC	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.28%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 7.95% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.92%