Chester FC 5-3 Hereford United - National League North - December 8, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Dec 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK at Deva Stadium

Weeks (44'), Elliott (49'), White (52' og.), Johnston (62'), Livesey (85')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Owen-Evans (22', 38'), Digie (74')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Hereford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	Hereford United
44.68%	25.38%	29.94%

Both teams to score 54.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.87%

49.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.8%

71.2%

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04%

21.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.74%

55.26%

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69%

30.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51%

66.49%

Score Analysis

Chester FC 44.68%

Hereford United 29.94%

Draw 25.37%

Chester FC	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.68%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.66% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.14% Total : 29.94%