Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
32.19% | 23.55% | 44.26% |
Both teams to score 61.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.18% | 39.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.82% | 62.18% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.75% | 24.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.4% | 58.6% |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.67% | 18.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.57% | 49.43% |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
2-1 @ 7.57% 1-0 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.19% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.44% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 3.62% 1-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.64% Total : 44.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |