Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 2-0 (4.94%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
39.76% | 22.59% | 37.64% |
Both teams to score 66.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.25% | 33.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.41% | 55.58% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% | 17.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.64% | 48.36% |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.37% | 18.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.06% | 49.94% |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
2-1 @ 8.31% 1-0 @ 5.71% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 4.03% 3-0 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.09% Total : 39.76% | 1-1 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 6.98% 0-0 @ 3.3% 3-3 @ 2.26% Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-1 @ 5.54% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 4.52% 2-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.1% 3-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 |
6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 |
6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 |