Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a win it was 1-2 (4.49%).
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | Nashville SC |
65.1% | 18.8% | 16.1% |
Both teams to score 58.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.92% | 35.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.91% | 57.09% |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.87% | 10.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.67% | 33.33% |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.13% | 34.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.4% | 71.6% |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | Nashville SC |
2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 9.26% 1-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 7.45% 3-0 @ 7.07% 4-1 @ 4.26% 4-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.92% 4-2 @ 2.25% 5-1 @ 1.95% 5-0 @ 1.85% 5-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.17% Total : 65.1% | 1-1 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 5.14% 0-0 @ 3.53% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.8% | 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-1 @ 3.72% 0-2 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.55% Total : 16.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 36 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Orlando City | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 29 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 27 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 27 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Toronto | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 23 |
14 | DC United | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 21 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 36 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Orlando City | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 29 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 27 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 27 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Toronto | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 23 |
14 | DC United | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 21 |