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Jul 31, 2020 at 1am UK at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
Philadelphia
3 - 1
Kansas
Monteiro (24'), Santos (26', 39')
Andres Martinez (25'), Elliott (53')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Pulido (45+1')
Fernandes (71')

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Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Sporting Kansas City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawSporting Kansas City
43.49%25.05%31.46%
Both teams to score 56.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96%47.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72%69.29%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37%21.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24%54.76%
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78%28.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07%63.93%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 43.49%
    Sporting Kansas City 31.46%
    Draw 25.05%
Philadelphia UnionDrawSporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-1 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 43.49%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.73%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.46%

Head to Head
May 17, 2020 12.30am
Mar 10, 2019 7pm
Kansas
2-0
Philadelphia
Sanchez (11' pen.), Elliott (80' og.)
Zusi (22'), Busio (37')

Fabian (31')
Fabian (60')
Sep 23, 2018 6pm
Philadelphia
2-0
Kansas
Simpson (71', 89')
Accam (66'), Mbaizo (75')

Espinoza (65')
Jul 7, 2017 1.30am
Aug 28, 2016 12am
Philadelphia
2-0
Kansas
Alberg (67'), Barnetta (92')
Creavalle (51'), Bedoya (93')

Medranda (20'), Espinoza (20')
Medranda (59'), Espinoza (87')
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