Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | Minnesota United |
39.16% | 26.1% | 34.74% |
Both teams to score 53.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.26% | 50.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.36% | 72.63% |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% | 25.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.76% | 60.24% |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.04% | 27.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.41% | 63.58% |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | Minnesota United |
1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.06% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 48 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 43 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 42 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
6 | New England RevolutionNew England | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 33 |
7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 33 |
8 | Orlando City | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 33 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 33 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 29 |
12 | Toronto | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 29 |
13 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 29 |
14 | DC United | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 48 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 43 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 42 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
6 | New England RevolutionNew England | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 33 |
7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 33 |
8 | Orlando City | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 33 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 33 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 29 |
12 | Toronto | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 29 |
13 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 29 |
14 | DC United | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 22 |