Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Nashville SC |
49.64% | 24.86% | 25.49% |
Both teams to score 52.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.26% | 49.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.25% | 71.75% |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.94% | 20.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.72% | 52.27% |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.97% | 34.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.28% | 70.71% |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.81% 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-0 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.79% Total : 49.64% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.36% 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 62 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 46 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Orlando City | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 45 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 45 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 41 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 40 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 62 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 46 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Orlando City | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 45 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 45 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 41 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 40 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 27 |