Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%).
Result | ||
Dallas | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
44.9% | 22.73% | 32.36% |
Both teams to score 64.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.24% | 35.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.17% | 57.83% |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.54% | 16.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.84% | 46.16% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.8% | 22.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.39% | 55.61% |
Score Analysis |
Dallas | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
2-1 @ 8.95% 1-0 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.61% Total : 44.9% | 1-1 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 6.74% 0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-1 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.37% Total : 32.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 48 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 43 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 42 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 40 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
6 | New England RevolutionNew England | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 34 |
7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 33 |
8 | Orlando City | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 33 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 33 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 32 |
11 | Toronto | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 30 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 29 |
14 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 48 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 43 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 42 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 40 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
6 | New England RevolutionNew England | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 34 |
7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 33 |
8 | Orlando City | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 33 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 33 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 32 |
11 | Toronto | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 30 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 29 |
14 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 22 |