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An analysis of Marcus Rashford's improved form under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer

An analysis of Marcus Rashford's improved form under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer
© Reuters
Rashford has five goals under Solskjaer and had only three under Jose Mourinho.

Marcus Rashford's prolific form under new boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer continued with a goal in Manchester United's win over Brighton on Saturday.

Interim manager Solskjaer said Rashford is "playing the best football in his career" and "can be absolutely top class" after watching him score his fifth goal in six league games.

Here, Press Association Sport looks at Rashford's improvement using his scoring record and additional data from analytics company StatsBomb.

Goals and assists

Marcus Rashford, left, is embraced by team-mates after his winner against Tottenham
Rashford, left, is embraced by team-mates after his winner against Tottenham (Mike Egerton/PA)

Rashford quickly set the tone for Solskjaer's reign with a third-minute opener against Cardiff in the first game after the change of manager.

He was kept at bay by Huddersfield next time out but has scored in every game since, giving him five goals under Solskjaer compared to three this season with Mourinho in charge.

Rashford's assist for Paul Pogba's first goal in the 4-1 win over Bournemouth was his only one since Solskjaer took charge, compared to five this season under Mourinho.

Scoring chances

Looking at advanced data from StatsBomb, Rashford's increased effectiveness under Solskjaer becomes clear.

The 21-year-old has taken more shots, 26, in 502 minutes of football under his new manager than his 19 in 846 minutes under Mourinho.

That represents a shot every 19.3 minutes under Solskjaer compared to one every 45 minutes under Mourinho, and the quality of his chances has also improved in line with his switch to a more central position.

Marcus Rashford shot map 2018-19
(PA/StatsBomb graphic)

Using expected goals (xG), a method which seeks to calculate the chances of scoring from a given shot based on the striker's position on the field, the type of attempt and the defenders in his way, we can measure the returns on Rashford's opportunities.

His two shots per match under Mourinho were worth an average of 0.20xG per 90 minutes, equivalent to a goal every five games or roughly two in the 846 minutes he played prior to Mourinho's exit.

He over-performed that expectation by scoring three times and has continued to do so, with his 4.7 shots per game under Solskjaer worth an average of 0.54xG per 90, or three in the 502 minutes he has played – Rashford, of course, has five.


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Paul Pogba and Jose Mourinho pictured during Manchester United's game with Burnley on September 2, 2018
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23193154134160
2Manchester CityMan City23182362174556
3Tottenham HotspurSpurs23170648232551
4Chelsea23145440192147
5Arsenal23135548321644
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd23135546331344
7Watford239683232033
8Wolverhampton WanderersWolves239592731-432
9Leicester CityLeicester2394102929031
10West Ham UnitedWest Ham2394103034-431
11Everton238693433130
12Bournemouth2393113342-930
13Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2375112532-726
14Crystal Palace2364132332-922
15Southampton2357112540-1522
16Burnley2364132343-2022
17Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2356121931-1221
18Cardiff CityCardiff2354141944-2519
19Fulham2335152151-3014
20Huddersfield TownHuddersfield2325161340-2711

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