Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
