Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Pau had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (11.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
