Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niort win with a probability of 40.79%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Pau had a probability of 28.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niort win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Niort would win this match.
