Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Niort had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.63%) and 1-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Niort win was 1-0 (12.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amiens would win this match.
