Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Niort had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
