Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
