Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lens |
32.54% | 27.1% | 40.37% |
Both teams to score 50.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.8% | 55.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.56% | 76.44% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.41% | 31.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.01% | 67.99% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% | 26.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.88% | 62.12% |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.54% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Brest | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
2 | Nice | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
3 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 11 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
7 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
10 | Lille | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
11 | Metz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
12 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
14 | Lorient | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
16 | Lens | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Lyon | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 2 |
18 | Clermont | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 1 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |