Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lille had a probability of 16.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.