Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Nimes win it was 1-0 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
