Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
