Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Lens had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
