Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
54.51% | 24.16% | 21.33% |
Both teams to score 50.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.13% | 50.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.25% | 72.74% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% | 18.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.18% | 49.82% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.52% | 38.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.77% | 75.22% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 12.02% 2-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.49% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.82% 1-2 @ 5.49% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | MonacoMonaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 10 |
2 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
3 | Marseille | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
4 | Reims | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Brest | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
6 | Lille | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Nice | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
8 | Rennes | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Le HavreLe Havre | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
11 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
12 | Toulouse | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
13 | Metz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
15 | NantesNantes | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
16 | Clermont | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 |
17 | Lens | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Lyon | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |