Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Lens had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Lens win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
