Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Dijon win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
