Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Marseille |
29.45% | 25.6% | 44.95% |
Both teams to score 53.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.73% | 50.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.78% | 72.22% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.76% | 31.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.42% | 67.58% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.68% | 22.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.2% | 55.8% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.11% 2-1 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.45% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 4.56% 0-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |