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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Jan 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II
Marseille
Monaco
3 - 1
Marseille
Maripan (47'), Tchouameni (75'), Jovetic (90+2')
Diatta (81'), Golovin (89'), Fofana (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Radonjic (12')
Balerdi (21'), Sakai (49'), Gonzalez (76'), Khaoui (82'), Gueye (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawMarseille
52.86%24.69%22.45%
Both teams to score 49.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23%51.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47%73.53%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45%19.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55%51.45%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12%37.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34%74.65%
Score Analysis
    Monaco 52.86%
    Marseille 22.45%
    Draw 24.69%
MonacoDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 5.21%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.86%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.19%
1-2 @ 5.69%
0-2 @ 3.49%
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 22.45%

How you voted: Monaco vs Marseille

Monaco
70.7%
Draw
12.9%
Marseille
16.4%
116
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 14
Marseille
2-1
Monaco
Thauvin (5'), Benedetto (13')
Kamara (76'), Thauvin (77'), Germain (90+3')
Ben Yedder (79' pen.)
Fofana (43')
May 9, 2020 7pm
Oct 30, 2019 8.05pm
Third Round
Monaco
2-1
Marseille
Augustin (25'), Aguilar (40')
Jemerson (19')
Lecomte (77' og.)
Caleta-Car (62'), Amavi (82')
Sep 15, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 5
Monaco
3-4
Marseille
Ben Yedder (17' pen., 26'), Balde (75')
Ballo-Toure (36'), Aguilar (42'), Balde (91')
Benedetto (38', 66'), Germain (41'), Payet (61')
Kamara (15'), Gonzalez (62'), Benedetto (91')
Jan 13, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 20
Marseille
1-1
Monaco
Lopez (13')
Sanson (58'), Ocampos (74')
Tielemans (38')
Sylla (79')
[nma]
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Brest641186213
2Nice633084412
3Paris Saint-GermainPSG6321146811
4MonacoMonaco6321158711
5Reims6312118310
6StrasbourgStrasbourg731379-210
7Le HavreLe Havre623110739
8Marseille623178-19
9Rennes615010648
10Lille622289-18
11Metz6222710-38
12NantesNantes6222111108
13Lens7214712-57
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier61329906
15Lorient61321012-26
16Toulouse613268-26
17Lyon6024311-82
18Clermont6015512-71

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