Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
