Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queretaro would win this match.
